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The
answer is SALES FORECAST which is a
critical component in business plan. SALES FORECAST is an estimate of how much money a business will
bring in over a given period. Typically, a business plan included at least
three years of annual sales forecast to determine the sales. The process of
developing your sales forecast will be closely associated with the work to
determine market potential and should follow the same principle of using
secondary sources first.
Quick Note: Market potential provides
information of how much money a group of potential customers will spend on a
particular product or service.
However,
the sales forecast can provide more accurate result if we use more sources of
information to prepare the forecast. The following sources are the most likely
which can be used:
·
Industry Statistics
Library information on specific industries that used to
determine market potential can be used to understand correlations of sales
which is describes as a known facts about an industry that can be expressed as
a ratio of the industry’s sales.
·
Customer buying
intentions
With help of primary research as questionnaires for the
market potential, you can basically intent customers to be the potential
customers and offer the service or product with particular price.
·
How long it takes to get
new customers
If your business is new, you will be aware about how many
hours of selling or how many calls it takes to generate single new customers. However,
the test marketing which is a process of trying to sell product or service to a
limited number of customers and carefully measuring factors like customer
feedback and how long it takes to make a sale. The investors are more likely interested
in how easy you can get a new customer with your product or service which shows
the speeding operation of your company in the market. But the fact is that it
takes more time to make a new customer than serving the existing one.
·
Expert opinion
The other best way is to confirm the expert’s opinion because
interviewing several people who have expertise in your particular industry can
help you to guess the sales forecast range for you business plan.
·
How much business the
competition gets
The idea is to monitor the sales forecast of you direct competitor
for the same particular industry. It will give you an idea of your estimate
sales forecast as you have same potential customers.
·
All the business out
there
This explains the idea of all the business in the market
related to your industry can also help you to estimate the sales forecast of
your company.
·
The amount of business
the firm can handle
Usually the most business can handle 100% of their capacity
which helps keep other people estimating about your sales forecast in perspectives.
Mostly the capacity is determined by the fact is the firm can handle the
expenses to grow his industry.
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